GE Vernova raises multi-year financial outlook, doubles dividend and increases buyback authorization
A stronger financial trajectory with substantially higher returns expected beyond 2028
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Now anticipates
$52B of revenue and 20% adjusted EBITDA margin* by 2028, up from$45B of revenue and 14% adjusted EBITDA margin* - 18 GW of gas turbine contracts signed quarter-to-date; expects to reach 80 GW of combined slot reservation agreements and backlog1 by year-end
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Expects to grow total backlog from
$135B to approximately$200B by year-end 2028, inclusive of doubling the size of Electrification backlog from$30B to$60B -
Expects to generate at least
$22B of cumulative free cash flow* from 2025 to 2028, up from at least$14B , after investing approximately$10B in cumulative capex and R&D in that time period -
Board of Directors declares a
$0.50 per share quarterly dividend, payable in the first quarter of 2026, and increases share repurchase authorization to$10B , from$6B
“At GE Vernova, we are in the early chapters of an incredible value creation opportunity with a stronger financial trajectory ahead,” said
“We are executing our financial strategy, and we now expect to generate at least
Financial Outlook
Today,
|
Financial Metric |
2025 Guidance |
2026 Guidance |
Outlook by 2028 |
|
Revenue |
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Adjusted EBITDA margin* |
8%-9% |
11%-13% |
20%, up from 14% |
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Free cash flow* |
|
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$22B+, up from $14B+ (cumulative '25 to '28) |
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(a - Compound annual growth rate through 2028; 2025 is the base year |
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Multi-Year Segment Financial Outlook
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Segment |
2025 Guidance |
2026 Guidance |
Outlook by 2028 |
|
Power |
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|
|
Electrification |
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|
|
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Wind |
|
|
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All outlooks exclude the impact of the acquisition of the remaining 50% stake of Prolec GE and any related financing, which is expected to close by mid-2026, subject to customary regulatory approvals.
Capital Allocation
GE Vernova’s strategic principles for capital allocation continue to include organic investments to drive profitable growth, returning at least one third of cash generation to shareholders, and targeted mergers and acquisitions in core businesses. The GE Vernova Board of Directors has declared a
Growth Beyond 2028
-
Large and growing equipment and services backlog, which is expected to reach approximately
$200 billion by year-end 2028. -
More profitable, recurring
Gas Power services revenue beginning in the 2030s. - Expanded investments into artificial intelligence, robotics, and automation.
- Focus on developing and commercializing breakthrough energy technologies, including small modular nuclear reactors, carbon capture, solid oxide fuel cells, and grid-related technologies to support data centers and grid modernization.
Event Webcast
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*Non-GAAP Financial Measure |
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1 Defined as remaining performance obligation (RPO) |
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In this document, the Company sometimes uses information derived from consolidated financial data but not presented in its financial statements prepared in accordance with
2025 and 2026 Guidance and Outlook by 2028: Adjusted EBITDA margin*
We cannot provide a reconciliation of the differences between the non-GAAP financial measures expectations and the corresponding GAAP financial measures for adjusted EBITDA margin* in the 2025 and 2026 guidance and outlook by 2028 without unreasonable effort due to the uncertainty of the costs and timing associated with potential restructuring actions and the impacts of depreciation and amortization.
2025 and 2026 Guidance and Outlook by 2028: Free cash flow*
We cannot provide a reconciliation of the differences between the non-GAAP financial measures expectations and the corresponding GAAP financial measure for free cash flow* in the 2025 and 2026 guidance and outlook for cumulative free cash flow* from 2025 through 2028 without unreasonable effort due to the uncertainty of timing for capital expenditures.
2025 and 2026 Guidance: Power and Electrification organic revenue*
We cannot provide a reconciliation of the differences between the non-GAAP financial measures expectations and the corresponding GAAP financial measure of Power and Electrification organic revenue* for 2025 and 2026 without unreasonable effort due to the uncertainty of foreign exchange rates.
Caution concerning forward-looking statements
This release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other securities laws that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These statements may include words such as “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “estimate,” “guidance,” “outlook,” “will,” “may,” and negatives or derivatives of these or similar expressions. These forward-looking statements include, among others, expectations about our future business and operating results and opportunities; expectations regarding electricity demand; the benefits we expect from our lean operating model; our ability to increase production capacity, efficiencies, and quality; current and future customer orders; our actual and planned investments; our focus on developing and commercializing innovative breakthrough energy technologies; our expected cash generation and management; our financial strategy and capital allocation framework, including organic investments, M&A, share repurchases, and dividends; and our credit ratings.
Forward-looking statements reflect our current expectations, are based on judgments and assumptions, are inherently uncertain and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other factors, which could cause our actual results, performance, or achievements to differ materially from current expectations. Some of the risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements include the following:
- Our ability to successfully execute our lean operating model;
- Our ability to innovate and successfully identify and meet customer demands and needs;
- Our ability to successfully compete;
- Significant disruptions in our supply chain, including the high cost or unavailability of raw materials, components, and products essential to our business;
- Significant disruptions to our manufacturing and production facilities and distribution networks;
- Changes in government policies and priorities that reduce funding and demand for energy equipment and services;
- Shifts in demand, market expectations, and other dynamics related to energy, electrification, decarbonization, and sustainability;
- Global economic trends, competition, and geopolitical risks, including conflicts, trade policies, and other constraints on economic activity;
- Product quality issues or product or safety failures related to our complex and specialized products, solutions, and services;
- Our ability to obtain required permits, licenses, and registrations;
- Our ability to attract and retain highly qualified personnel;
- Our ability to develop, deploy, and protect our intellectual property rights;
- Our capital allocation plans, including the timing and amount of any dividends, share repurchases, acquisitions, organic investments, and other priorities;
- Our ability to successfully identify, complete, integrate, and obtain benefits from any acquisitions, joint ventures, and other investments;
- The price, availability, and trading volumes of our common stock;
- Downgrades of our credit ratings or ratings outlooks;
- The amount and timing of our cash flows and earnings;
- Our ability to meet our sustainability goals;
- The impact from cybersecurity or data security incidents;
- Changes in law, regulation, or policy that may affect our businesses and projects, or impose additional costs;
- Natural disasters, weather conditions and events, public health events, or other emergencies;
- Tax law and policy changes;
- Adverse outcomes in legal, regulatory, and administrative proceedings, actions, and disputes; and
- Other changes in macroeconomic and market conditions and volatility.
These or other uncertainties may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements, and these and other factors are more fully discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
Additional Information
GE Vernova’s website at www.gevernova.com/investors contains a significant amount of information about
Additional Financial Information
Additional financial information can be found on the Company’s website at: www.gevernova.com/investors under Reports and Filings.
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m.lapides@gevernova.com
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