The WFII 2026 Outlook report highlights economic and market forecasts, favored sectors, and top portfolio ideas

SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Dec. 10, 2025-- Wells Fargo Investment Institute (WFII) today released its “2026 Outlook report: Trendlines over headlines.” Even as headlines may continue to stress uncertainties about policy and the pace of technology spending, WFII expects favorable economic and policy trends already in place will ultimately shape a broad array of potential investment opportunities. Conviction expressed in the report is that growing technology spending, Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, deregulation, and tax incentives collectively will push past headline noise to shape a 2026 investment landscape that should draw investor attention.

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Wells Fargo Investment Institute's 2026 Outlook report: Trendlines over headlines (Graphic: Wells Fargo)

These trends may support each other. Business tax cuts for capital spending should promote business expansion and modernization. Lower borrowing costs and deregulation could promote hiring, raise worker productivity, reduce production costs and inflation while raising earnings growth and potentially expanding equity market breadth.

“While market volatility and pullbacks remain possible, the trends outlined in our report provide a strong foundation for long-term growth and portfolio diversification,” said Darrell Cronk, chief investment officer for Wealth & Investment Management. “Rather than reacting to daily headlines, we encourage investors to tune out the noise and focus on the fundamental signals shaping tomorrow’s investment landscape — policy tailwinds, technological transformation, and expanding opportunities across asset classes.”

WFII favors U.S. large- and mid-cap equities, industrial and precious metals, and a complementary full international equity allocation. At the same time, lower short-term rates and a modest expected rise in longer-term yields favor intermediate (3-7 years) maturities in investment-grade securities. Lower interest rates and new tax advantages should reinforce the strong technology and artificial intelligence spending trend. WFII favors staying invested in that trend but focusing on valuations to avoid chasing overextended stocks. Additional diversification and flexibility may come from select hedge fund strategies and private capital strategies — such as private equity secondaries, infrastructure, and small and midcap buyout.

Five investment ideas for 2026:

1. Focus on technology’s potential for seismic change.
2. Consider learning more about digital assets as a potential opportunity.
3. Complement U.S. equity bias with international opportunities.
4. Position portfolios for lower short-term rates.
5. Harness the noise-reducing potential of alternatives and private assets.

Highlights of WFII’s forecast:

• The anticipated U.S. GDP (gross domestic product) growth target is 2.4% for 2026.
• The target for U.S. consumer price inflation in 2026 is 2.8%.
• The S&P 500 Index price target range is 7,400 – 7,600 for 2026.
• Federal funds rate target is 3.00% – 3.25% for 2026.

Join the WFII 2026 Outlook call today, December 10, at 4:15 p.m. Eastern Time. Dial-in: 877-601-6604; Passcode: 71-306-44.

A summary of the WFII 2026 Outlook is available (PDF).

Please see the full report for detailed information.

Risk Disclosure

Forecasts and targets are based on certain assumptions and on our current views of market and economic conditions, which are subject to change.

All investing involves risks, including the possible loss of principal. There can be no assurance that any investment strategy will be successful and meet its investment objectives. Investments fluctuate with changes in market and economic conditions and in different environments due to numerous factors, some of which may be unpredictable. Asset allocation and diversification do not guarantee investment returns or eliminate risk of loss.

Stock markets, especially foreign markets, are volatile. A stock’s value may fluctuate in response to general economic and market conditions, the prospects of individual companies, and industry sectors. International investing has additional risks including those associated with currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, and different accounting standards. This may result in greater share price volatility. These risks are heightened in emerging and frontier markets. Investments in fixed-income securities are subject to market, interest rate, credit, liquidity, inflation, prepayment, extension, and other risks. Bond prices fluctuate inversely to changes in interest rates. Therefore, a general rise in interest rates can result in a decline in the bond’s price.

Alternative investments, such as hedge funds, funds of hedge funds, managed futures, private capital, real assets and real estate funds, are not appropriate for all investors. They are speculative, highly illiquid, and are designed for long-term investment, and not as trading vehicle.

The information contained herein constitutes general information and is not directed to, designed for, or individually tailored to, any particular investor or potential investor. This report is not intended to be a client-specific suitability analysis or recommendation, an offer to participate in any investment, or a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell securities. Do not use this report as the primary basis for investment decisions. Consider all relevant information, including your existing portfolio, investment objectives, risk tolerance, liquidity needs, and investment time horizon.

About Wells Fargo Investment Institute

Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Inc. is a registered investment adviser and wholly owned subsidiary of Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., a bank affiliate of Wells Fargo & Company.

About Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE: WFC) is a leading financial services company that has approximately $2.1 trillion in assets. We provide a diversified set of banking, investment and mortgage products and services, as well as consumer and commercial finance, through our four reportable operating segments: Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth & Investment Management. Wells Fargo ranked No. 33 on Fortune’s 2025 rankings of America’s largest corporations. News, insights, and perspectives from Wells Fargo are also available at Wells Fargo Stories.

Additional information may be found at www.wellsfargo.com

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wellsfargo

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Sarah Kerr, 917-588-5919
sarah.kerr@wellsfargo.com

Source: Wells Fargo & Company