Citi Hildebrandt Client Advisory Reports Expected Strong End to 2025 and Optimism for 2026 for Law Firm Industry
Key Takeaways
- 2026 demand expected to be driven by continued activity across range of practice areas and accelerated growth in broad M&A
- Law firms remain adaptable amid market volatility and Generative AI implementation
-
New York andLondon remain the top markets for law firm expansion - Expense growth will be driven by increased headcount with a shift to a more senior leverage model and operating expense pressure
- Law firms will continue investing in Generative AI into 2026
The results show that demand gained momentum throughout 2025, following unanticipated challenges early in the year. Revenue grew 11.3% driven by the collection of strong inventory entering the year and 1.9% demand growth.
The collection cycle lengthened by 1.2%, revising the shortening previously reported in 2024. The report highlights that inventory was up 12.7% by the end of September, driven by 9.6% growth in accounts receivable and a 15.7% growth in unbilled time. These levels are a positive signal for strong fourth quarter collections.
Based on the Report,
Headcount grew 2.9%, driven by salaried lawyers. This investment in salaried lawyers was a prime factor in 9.1% expense growth at firms through the first nine months of 2025. There is also a continued shift to a more senior and expensive leverage model, with many law firms investing in more income partners. The results show a 6% growth of income partners. The investment in headcount has outpaced demand growth, resulting in a productivity decline of 0.6%. It is expected that firms will continue to shift to a more senior leverage model in 2026 and beyond.
Results also indicated operating expense pressure which is expected to continue in 2026. There will be continued investment into technology, including cloud computing and cyber security with a greater focus on the impact and implementation of generative AI. Firms will also continue upskilling the professional staff leverage model. Firms are also poised to spend more on office space.
“I feel optimistic about where the law firm industry is headed, especially given the demand and revenue growth we have seen over the past year. We expect transactional practices to keep gaining momentum as the market becomes more stable. Generative Al will continue to reshape how firms operate and scale while they also consider ways technology can increase efficiency. I am confident that 2026 will be marked by steady growth, innovation and increasingly sophisticated ways of working,” said
Law firms maintain resilience and adaptability in volatile markets. In 2026, there is an anticipation for broader market consolidation, with the most profitable firms continuing to pursue a strong growth mindset, capturing a greater share of market. Generative AI and its impact and implementation on the industry at large will continue to be a strong focus.
“The industry has shown remarkable resilience, and we are seeing that translate into renewed confidence across practices. The increased emphasis on operational efficiency through the use of technology and implementation of Generative AI tools optimizing their core businesses, talent development and strategic growth are positioning firms for sustained success into 2026,” said
About the Citi Hildebrandt Client Advisory
Analyses and projections are based on data collected from a sampling of primarily US-headquartered law firms by the
This report is for informational purposes only based on those responses from the survey and are not intended to represent investment advice.
The views expressed herein are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the views of
The full Client Advisory can be accessedhere.
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Source: Citi