Denison Reports Readiness to Commence Construction of Flagship Phoenix ISR Project and Provides Capital Cost Update
Owing to years of work de-risking and advancing
Based on our strong balance sheet, and the advanced state of project engineering, construction planning, and procurement activities, we are confident that we will be able to make a positive final investment decision following receipt of final regulatory approvals. While our estimate of initial capital costs has increased modestly from the 2023 Phoenix FS, it is important to note that the Project is now ready for construction, continues to have only a two-year construction schedule, and that the updated costs are the basis for our project Control Budget – meaning that there are no further revisions expected prior to the commencement of construction."
Phoenix Construction Readiness Highlights
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Conclusion of CNSC public hearing represents final step in federal regulatory process: The two-part
Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission ("CNSC") public hearing, considering Denison's application for the approval of the Environmental Assessment ("EA") and the Licence to Prepare the Site for & Construct a Mine and Mill (the "Licence"), concluded onDecember 11, 2025 . Denison is now awaiting a decision from the CNSC. -
Provincial environmental assessment approved: In August, Denison announced the Project received Ministerial approval under The Environmental Assessment Act (
Saskatchewan ). -
Received initial provincial approval to conduct certain earthworks: Denison recently received authorization from the Province of
Saskatchewan to conduct certain activities associated with the initial earthworks for the Project, including vegetation removal and site drainage works. -
Ready to begin construction: The procurement process for planned 2026 construction contracts is nearly complete with contract awards pending and expected in early 2026. Based on significant construction planning efforts completed to date, it is expected that Denison will achieve a level 4 (detailed task level) construction schedule shortly after contract awards are complete and contractors are onboarded.
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Shipment of
long lead items on schedule: Expected shipment dates for all key long lead items are on schedule, including electrical distribution infrastructure consisting of main site transformer, substation high voltage equipment, switchgear, and substation e-house.
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Substantial completion of project engineering: Detailed design engineering for the Project is substantially complete with approximately 87% total engineering complete to date, and 92% of primary engineering deliverables issued for construction with remaining engineering, related to the latter phases of project construction, forecasted to be completed by Q2'2026.
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Updated initial capital cost estimate based on significant procurement progress: Given significant progress with long-lead procurement and the advanced stage of negotiation on several key construction work packages, a Class 2 post-FID capital cost estimate has been prepared to set a project construction cost control budget ("Control Budget"). This capital cost estimate updates the Class 3 cost estimate (based on 2022 costing) reported in the 2023 feasibility study for
Phoenix (the "2023 Phoenix FS"). Post-FID initial capital costs forPhoenix are now expected to be$600 million ("Updated Capex"), which reflects a combination of inflationary adjustments, cost increases, project refinements, and improved estimation precision. The Updated Capex is a 20% increase relative to the 2023 Phoenix FS when adjusted for inflation. Importantly, the Project is now in a construction ready state and no adjustments to the Updated Capex are expected prior to commencement of construction. -
Strong balance sheet to fund construction: With over
$700 million of cash, physical uranium and investments as ofSeptember 30, 2025 , Denison is in a strong financial position to fund the initial capital requirements of the Project. - Permit receipt remains key catalyst for advancing to construction: Denison is ready to make a FID and commence construction shortly after receiving federal approval of the EA and Licence. If construction commences by the end of Q1'2026, the Project timeline will remain on track for targeted first production by mid-2028.
Phoenix Initial Capital Cost Update
As a result of significant progress with long-lead procurement and the advanced stage of negotiation on several key construction work packages, a Class 2 post-FID capital cost estimate has been prepared to set the Control Budget for Phoenix. Approximately 75% of equipment and materials costs are supported by committed contracts or bid evaluations in progress, and approximately 50% of construction costs are supported by bids under evaluation or in final contract negotiation.
After accounting for increases in inflation, cost increases, and project refinements, the Company now estimates the total post-FID initial capital estimate for the Project to be approximately
A notable refinement to the 2023 Phoenix FS is the planned installation of large diameter wells throughout the Phase 1 mining area to enable each well to act as an injection or recovery well. The 2023 Phoenix FS was based on approximately half of the wells in Phase 1 being large diameter and the other half being smaller diameter wells for injection only. While this modification increases initial capital costs, it is expected to improve the operational flexibility of the wellfield, optimize rates of recoveries, and support achievement of the 2023 Phoenix FS production targets.
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Table 1 – Phoenix Initial Capital Cost Estimate (100% basis) |
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2023 Phoenix FS(1) (2022 Dollars) |
2023 (2026 Dollars) |
Updated Capex (2026 Dollars) |
Variance from |
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Post-FID |
|
|
|
20 % |
|
(1) |
Based on the 2023 Phoenix FS. |
|
(2) |
Inflation based on Statistics Canada |
The Updated Capex assumes a FID is made at the end of
Construction of the Project is still planned to be completed during an approximate 24-month construction period. If the Project receives all necessary approvals to commence construction by the end of the first quarter of 2026, Denison would be able to initiate construction as planned and maintain its target of achieving first production by mid-2028.
When compared to the 2023 Phoenix FS, using the same basis to determine the base-case uranium sales price for the Project (UxC's "Composite Midpoint" spot price scenario, using constant dollars), the projected base-case adjusted after-tax NPV for the Project remains effectively the same, as the increase in initial post-FID capital costs is offset by a modest improvement in the uranium price assumptions since mid-2023 (see Table 2). After incorporating the Updated Capex,
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Table 2 – Initial Capital Cost Estimate Comparison (100% basis) |
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2023 Phoenix FS(1) (2022 Dollars) |
Updated Capex Estimate(2) (2026 Dollars) |
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|
|
|
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Base Case Uranium Price(3) |
UxC Comp. Midpoint Q2 2023
( |
UxC Comp. Midpoint Q4 2025
( |
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Post-Tax Payback Period(4) |
~10 months |
~12 months |
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Post-Tax NPV8%(5) |
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|
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Post-Tax NPV8%(5) to Initial Capex Factor |
3.7 |
2.6 |
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Post-Tax IRR(5) |
90 % |
73 % |
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(1) |
Based on the 2023 Phoenix FS. |
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(2) |
Estimated project economics reflect Updated Capex and revised base case uranium price, as described herein. All other costs and production estimates are consistent with the 2023 Phoenix FS and are shown from the point in time in which a FID is made and excludes pre-FID expenditures. Denison assumes FID occurs at the end of |
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(3) |
|
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(4) |
Payback period is stated as number of months to payback post-FID initial capital expenditures from the start of uranium production. |
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(5) |
Post-tax NPV, IRR and payback period are based on the "adjusted post-tax" scenario in the 2023 Phoenix FS, which includes the benefit of certain entity level tax attributes which are expected to be available and used to reduce taxable income from the |
There are no material changes to the technical information included in the 2023 Phoenix FS, and Denison continues to expect the estimated construction timeline, annual rates of uranium production, operating costs, sustaining capital costs and reclamation costs to be largely consistent with the 2023 Phoenix FS. Accordingly, Denison is not, at this time, providing any updates to the
Based on the Updated Capex, the Project's sensitivity to the uranium price has been updated as per Table 3 below. Since the 2023 Phoenix FS, expected uranium spot prices have increased slightly, whereas long-term uranium prices, which are intended to represent the pricing for base-escalated long-term contracts in today's dollars, have increased over 50% to
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Table 3 – Project Economics Sensitivity with Updated Capex(1) (100% basis) |
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Uranium Price |
Post-Tax |
Post-Tax |
Post-Tax IRR(5) |
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Base Case(2) ( |
~12 months |
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73 % |
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~11 months |
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82 % |
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~10 months |
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94 % |
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~7 months |
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128 % |
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(1) |
Estimated project economics reflect Updated Capex, as described herein. All other costs and production estimates are consistent with the 2023 Phoenix FS and economic results are shown from the point in time in which a FID is made and thus excludes pre-FID expenditures. Denison assumes FID occurs at the end of |
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(2) |
The Phoenix FS used a base case uranium selling price derived from UxC based on "Composite Midpoint" constant dollar scenario from UxC's Q2'2023 Uranium Market Outlook ("UMO"). The equivalent base case price scenario is derived from the Q4'2025 UMO. |
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(3) |
Long-Term pricing of |
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(4) |
Payback period is stated as number of months to payback post-FID initial capital expenditures from the start of uranium production. |
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(5) |
Post-tax NPV, IRR and payback period are based on the "adjusted post-tax" scenario in the 2023 Phoenix FS, which includes the benefit of certain entity level tax attributes which are expected to be available and used to reduce taxable income from the |
All amounts are stated in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted and computed using the same foreign exchange rate assumptions as used in the 2023 Phoenix FS (i.e. a US dollar to Canadian dollar exchange rate of 1.35).
About Wheeler River
About Denison
Denison is a leading uranium mining, development, and exploration company with interests focused in the
Additionally, through its 50% ownership of JCU, Denison holds interests in various uranium project joint ventures in
In 2024, Denison celebrated its 70th year in uranium mining, exploration, and development, which began in 1954 with Denison's first acquisition of mining claims in the
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Technical Disclosure and Qualified Person
The technical information contained in this press release has been reviewed and approved by
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain information contained in this news release constitutes 'forward-looking information', within the meaning of the applicable
In particular, this news release contains forward-looking information pertaining to Denison's current
expectations,
intentions and objectives with respect to
Forward looking statements are based on the opinions and estimates of management as of the date such statements are made, and they are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of Denison to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.
For example, the results and underlying assumptions and interpretations of its technical studies
and cost forecasting
may not be maintained after further testing
, procurement,
or operations,
or be representative of actual conditions
at the Project or
within the applicable deposits.
In addition, Denison may decide or otherwise be required to discontinue testing, evaluation and other work on the Company's other properties if it is unable to maintain or otherwise secure the necessary resources (such as testing facilities, capital funding, joint venture approvals, regulatory approvals, etc.). Denison believes that the expectations reflected in this forward-looking information are reasonable but no assurance can be given that these expectations will prove to be accurate and results may differ materially from those anticipated in this forward-looking information. For a discussion in respect of risks and other factors that could influence forward-looking events, please refer to the factors discussed in Denison's Annual Information Form dated
Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Any forward-looking information and the assumptions made with respect thereto speaks only as of the date of this news release. Denison does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking information after the date of this news release to conform such information to actual results or to changes in Denison's expectations except as otherwise required by applicable legislation.
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