Riskified Analysis Reveals 1 in 4 Refund Dollars Is Abusive; Introduces "Dynamic Returns," a New Policy Protect Feature, to Safeguard Revenue While Increasing Customer Satisfaction
Presented in Riskified’s report, “Refunduary is here, How to prevent refund policy abuse, protect profitability, and optimize CX,” the data underscores why merchants feel pressured to apply these strict controls:
- The holiday season is particularly challenging: November and December orders generated almost a third of all claims for the year, with over half carrying into January and overwhelming operational teams.
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High-value orders are another area of risk: Claim rates for orders over
$2,000 are 2.5x higher than those under$100 , and orders over$1,000 are 33% more likely to be abusive compared to the average. For high-spending VIP customers, additional scrutiny can mar the experience. - "Item Not Received" (INR) claims are the most abused category, with a 25% higher likelihood of fraud vs “Missing Items” (MI) claims, as bad actors exploit liability gaps (consistent with Dark Web examples). However, the surge in ecommerce order deliveries means there are plenty of legitimate INR claims.
- Fraudsters exploit early-claim windows: Claims filed within the first seven days are over 20% more likely to be abusive vs. the average, creating tension for merchants who want to provide fast service to legitimate shoppers.
“Fraudulent claims don’t just hurt retailer profitability, they cost good customers time and patience,” said
To help retailer fraud and customer experience teams improve the customer claims process,
As soon as a return claim is submitted, retailers can act immediately: Trusted shopper identities can receive an instant refund, replacement items can be shipped without waiting for the original, and some refunds can be issued without an item being returned at all. This dynamic approach allows merchants to handle clear cases of abuse, recognize trustworthy shoppers, and manage the gray area in between.
Using the new Dynamic Returns feature within Policy Protect, a retailer was able to instantly approve more than half of returns for loyal customers. Customers who received early refunds recorded a more than 20% increase in customer satisfaction score (CSAT) compared to those who went through traditional refund processes, with over 97% of approved early refunds going to customers who actually returned their purchased items. (Results reflect outcomes observed over a one-month period.)
As ecommerce continues to grow, retailers face increasing pressure to balance convenience with control. Policy abuse isn’t just a financial problem--it’s a customer experience challenge. Merchants using Riskified’s Policy Protect to detect and prevent abusive claims can ensure their shoppers receive the service they expect, maintain trust, and protect revenue, all at the same time, in real-time.
Learn more about Policy Protect and Dynamic Returns on Riskified.com .
Refunduary Report Methodology
The findings in “Refunduary is here” are based on Riskified’s analysis of 1M+ refund claims from three major retailers over the full 2024 calendar year. The dataset includes all claims received, with a focus on “Item Not Received” (INR) and “Missing Items” (MI). Riskified’s proprietary data science models flagged claims as highly suspicious based on a combination of high-risk statistical patterns and behavioral indicators, allowing for a reliable assessment of policy abuse. Read the report here.
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