National House Prices Nearly Unchanged in 2025, According to First American Data & Analytics Monthly Home Price Index Report
—Annual price growth dips to the slowest pace since 2012, with metro gains concentrated where supply remains tight, says Chief Economist
December1 National House Price Index
|
First American Data & Analytics’ National Non-Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) HPI |
|
|
Metric |
Change in HPI |
|
November 2025-December 2025 (month over month) |
-0.2 percent |
|
December 2024-December 2025 (year over year) |
+0.5 percent |
Highlights
- Annual house price appreciation remained below 1 percent for the fifth consecutive month in December.
-
House price growth reported in last month’s HPI for
October 2025 toNovember 2025 was unchanged at -0.2 percent.
“From a national house price perspective, it’s almost like 2025 didn’t happen – prices finished the year nearly unchanged,” said
The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution; mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price distribution.
“As we close out the year, the market’s fault line is inventory,” said Fleming. “Across the top 30 markets we track, prices are flat or declining in 20 markets, and among the 10 markets still posting year-over-year gains, eight are in the Northeast or Midwest—areas where supply has generally remained tighter. Where inventory has grown, particularly in several pandemic-era boom towns like
|
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) Ranked by Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in Stater Tier HPI |
|||
|
CBSA |
Change in Starter Tier HPI |
Change in Mid-Tier HPI |
Change in Luxury Tier HPI |
|
|
+6.9 percent |
+3.3 percent |
+4.5 percent |
|
|
+5.0 percent |
+2.5 percent |
+0.8 percent |
|
|
+4.7 percent |
+4.4 percent |
+3.4 percent |
|
|
+3.8 percent |
+0.0 percent |
+1.9 percent |
|
|
+1.8 percent |
+1.0 percent |
+1.2 percent |
Additional
|
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in HPI |
|
|
CBSA |
Change in HPI |
|
|
+4.2 percent |
|
|
+2.8 percent |
|
|
+2.5 percent |
|
|
+2.3 percent |
|
|
+2.3 percent |
|
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with a Year-Over-Year Decrease in HPI |
|
|
|
-6.0 percent |
|
|
-4.0 percent |
|
|
-3.9 percent |
|
|
-3.7 percent |
|
|
-3.4 percent |
HPI data for all 50 states and the largest 30 CBSAs by population is available here.
Visit the First American Economic Center for more research on housing market dynamics.
Next Release
The next release of the First American Data & Analytics House Price Index will take place the week of
First American Data & Analytics HPI Methodology
The First American Data & Analytics HPI report measures single-family home prices, including distressed sales, with indices updated monthly beginning in 1980 through the month of the current report. HPI data is provided at the national, state and CBSA levels and includes preliminary index estimates for the month prior to the report (i.e. the preliminary result of July transactions is reported in August). The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.
The HPI uses a repeat-sales methodology, which measures price changes for the same property over time using more than 46 million paired transactions to generate the indices. In non-disclosure states, the HPI utilizes a combination of public sales records, MLS sold and active listings, and appraisal data to estimate house prices. This comprehensive approach is particularly effective in areas where there is limited availability of accurate sale prices, such as non-disclosure states. Property type, price and location data are used to create more refined market segment indices. Real Estate-Owned transactions are not included.
Disclaimer
Opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views contained in this page are those of First American’s Chief Economist, do not necessarily represent the views of First American or its management, should not be construed as indicating First American’s business prospects or expected results, and are subject to change without notice. Although the First American Economics team attempts to provide reliable, useful information, it does not guarantee that the information is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. © 2026 by First American. Information from this page may be used with proper attribution.
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1 The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.
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